Draftview
New England PatriotsNew England Patriots

2027 draft outlook · After Week 4

New England Patriots

2-2 · AFC East

Other teams

Pick odds

Projected pick
23rd
Top-5 odds
1%
Since last week
down 2.6
New England Patriots: chance at each pick
Chance at each pickPick 23: 5.1%
0%2%4%6%8%Pick 1: <0.1%Pick 2: <0.1%Pick 3: 0.3%Pick 4: 0.3%Pick 5: 0.4%Pick 6: 0.6%Pick 7: 0.7%Pick 8: 1.1%Pick 9: 1.2%Pick 10: 1.6%Pick 11: 1.7%Pick 12: 1.8%Pick 13: 2.1%Pick 14: 2.4%Pick 15: 2.8%Pick 16: 2.8%Pick 17: 2.9%Pick 18: 3.1%Pick 19: 3.5%Pick 20: 4.9%Pick 21: 5.5%Pick 22: 5.3%Pick 23: 5.1%Pick 24: 5.2%Pick 25: 5.0%Pick 26: 5.6%Pick 27: 6.3%Pick 28: 5.0%Pick 29: 5.9%Pick 30: 5.3%Pick 31: 5.9%Pick 32: 5.6%Proj.151015202532
Show as table
PickChance
1st<0.1%
2nd<0.1%
3rd0.3%
4th0.3%
5th0.4%
6th0.6%
7th0.7%
8th1.1%
9th1.2%
10th1.6%
11th1.7%
12th1.8%
13th2.1%
14th2.4%
15th2.8%
16th2.8%
17th2.9%
18th3.1%
19th3.5%
20th4.9%
21st5.5%
22nd5.3%
23rd5.1%
24th5.2%
25th5.0%
26th5.6%
27th6.3%
28th5.0%
29th5.9%
30th5.3%
31st5.9%
32nd5.6%

No. 1: <0.1% · Top 3: 0.4% · Top 10: 6.2%

Season trend

After week 4: 1.1%
0%2.5%5%1.1%Pre1234

Week

Week 5 rooting guide

Results that help this pick most, from the same 10,000 simulations. Changes are top-5 odds and average pick if that team wins rather than loses.

Your game

  • Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders

    Root for Raiders over Patriots

    +2.5% top-5 odds · 4.7 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  1. New York JetsNew York Jets

    Root for Jets over Browns

    +0.7% top-5 odds · 0.2 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  2. Houston TexansHouston Texans

    Root for Texans over Titans

    0.2 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  3. Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers

    Root for Steelers over Colts

    0.3 picks laterSun 1:00 PM ET
  4. Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills

    Root for Bills over Rams

    0.7 picks earlierMon 8:15 PM ET
  5. Washington CommandersWashington Commanders

    Root for Commanders over Giants

    0.4 picks laterSun 1:00 PM ET
  6. Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys

    Root for Cowboys over Buccaneers

    0.1 picks earlierThu 8:15 PM ET
8 more games barely matter
  • Miami DolphinsMiami Dolphins

    Root for Dolphins over Bengals

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET
  • Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers

    Root for Chargers over Broncos

    Little effect on the pickSun 4:05 PM ET
  • Chicago BearsChicago Bears

    Root for Bears over Packers

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET
  • Arizona CardinalsArizona Cardinals

    Root for Cardinals over Lions

    Little effect on the pickSun 4:25 PM ET
  • New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints

    Root for Saints over Vikings

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET
  • San Francisco 49ersSan Francisco 49ers

    Root for 49ers over Seahawks

    Little effect on the pickSun 4:25 PM ET
  • Philadelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles

    Root for Eagles over Jaguars

    Little effect on the pickSun 9:30 AM ET
  • Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens

    Root for Ravens over Falcons

    Little effect on the pickSun 8:20 PM ET

Prospects in range

Full board

Best fits for the Patriots' first pick, combining need, projected range and the chance each player is still available.

  1. 1Mississippi StateMississippi State

    Kelley Jones77 Excellent

    CB · Mississippi State · No. 36 overall

    Fills a top need for the Patriots at CB; 81% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).

  2. 2Notre DameNotre Dame

    Boubacar Traore77 Excellent

    EDGE · Notre Dame · No. 39 overall

    Fills a top need for the Patriots at EDGE; 84% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).

  3. 3Ohio StateOhio State

    Kenyatta Jackson Jr.77 Excellent

    EDGE · Ohio State · No. 31 overall

    Fills a top need for the Patriots at EDGE; 71% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).

  4. 4OregonOregon

    Matayo Uiagalelei77 Excellent

    EDGE · Oregon · No. 33 overall

    Fills a top need for the Patriots at EDGE; 75% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).

  5. 5ClemsonClemson

    Will Heldt74 Strong

    EDGE · Clemson · No. 23 overall

    Fills a top need for the Patriots at EDGE; 54% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).

  6. 6ClemsonClemson

    Ashton Hampton72 Strong

    CB · Clemson · No. 19 overall

    Fills a top need for the Patriots at CB; 45% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).

Fans vs. experts · Week 5

Fans' pick

Mississippi StateMississippi StateKelley JonesCB · Mississippi State

100% of 1 vote

Draftview projection

AlabamaAlabamaYhonzae PierreEDGE · Alabama

The Patriots' pick in 7% of simulations

Prospect watch · Week 6

Prospects in the Patriots' likely range playing this week. Kickoffs in Eastern time.

Team needs

Biggest needs: IOL, CB and EDGE.

  • EDGEHigh
  • LBHigh
  • CBHigh
  • TEModerate
  • IOLModerate
  • SModerate
  • RBLow
  • WRLow
  • OTLow
  • DLLow
  • QBSet

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