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Kansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs

2027 draft outlook · After Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs

4-0 · AFC West

Other teams

Pick odds

Projected pick
25th
Top-5 odds
0%
Since last week
down 0.8
Kansas City Chiefs: chance at each pick
Chance at each pickPick 25: 4.3%
0%2%4%6%8%Pick 1: 0%Pick 2: <0.1%Pick 3: <0.1%Pick 4: 0.1%Pick 5: 0.1%Pick 6: 0.2%Pick 7: 0.4%Pick 8: 0.5%Pick 9: 0.7%Pick 10: 0.8%Pick 11: 0.8%Pick 12: 1.6%Pick 13: 1.5%Pick 14: 1.8%Pick 15: 2.0%Pick 16: 2.2%Pick 17: 2.4%Pick 18: 2.1%Pick 19: 3.5%Pick 20: 4.7%Pick 21: 5.3%Pick 22: 5.7%Pick 23: 6.6%Pick 24: 6.6%Pick 25: 4.3%Pick 26: 6.1%Pick 27: 6.7%Pick 28: 7.8%Pick 29: 5.9%Pick 30: 7.5%Pick 31: 6.7%Pick 32: 5.7%Proj.151015202532
Show as table
PickChance
2nd<0.1%
3rd<0.1%
4th0.1%
5th0.1%
6th0.2%
7th0.4%
8th0.5%
9th0.7%
10th0.8%
11th0.8%
12th1.6%
13th1.5%
14th1.8%
15th2.0%
16th2.2%
17th2.4%
18th2.1%
19th3.5%
20th4.7%
21st5.3%
22nd5.7%
23rd6.6%
24th6.6%
25th4.3%
26th6.1%
27th6.7%
28th7.8%
29th5.9%
30th7.5%
31st6.7%
32nd5.7%

No. 1: — · Top 3: <0.1% · Top 10: 2.8%

Season trend

After week 4: 0.3%
0%5%10%15%0.3%Pre1234

Week

Week 5 rooting guide

Results that help this pick most, from the same 10,000 simulations. Changes are top-5 odds and average pick if that team wins rather than loses.

  1. Houston TexansHouston Texans

    Root for Texans over Titans

    0.1 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  2. Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks

    Root for Seahawks over 49ers

    0.3 picks laterSun 4:25 PM ET
  3. New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints

    Root for Saints over Vikings

    0.2 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  4. Cincinnati BengalsCincinnati Bengals

    Root for Bengals over Dolphins

    0.3 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  5. Denver BroncosDenver Broncos

    Root for Broncos over Chargers

    0.2 picks earlierSun 4:05 PM ET
  6. Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Root for Buccaneers over Cowboys

    0.1 picks earlierThu 8:15 PM ET
  7. Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers

    Root for Steelers over Colts

    0.1 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  8. Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills

    Root for Bills over Rams

    0.1 picks earlierMon 8:15 PM ET
  9. Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens

    Root for Ravens over Falcons

    0.2 picks earlierSun 8:20 PM ET
6 more games barely matter
  • New England PatriotsNew England Patriots

    Root for Patriots over Raiders

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET
  • Washington CommandersWashington Commanders

    Root for Commanders over Giants

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET
  • Arizona CardinalsArizona Cardinals

    Root for Cardinals over Lions

    Little effect on the pickSun 4:25 PM ET
  • New York JetsNew York Jets

    Root for Jets over Browns

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET
  • Philadelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles

    Root for Eagles over Jaguars

    Little effect on the pickSun 9:30 AM ET
  • Chicago BearsChicago Bears

    Root for Bears over Packers

    Little effect on the pickSun 1:00 PM ET

Prospects in range

Full board

Best fits for the Chiefs' first pick, combining need, projected range and the chance each player is still available.

  1. 1Notre DameNotre Dame

    Boubacar Traore79 Excellent

    EDGE · Notre Dame · No. 39 overall

    Fills a top need for the Chiefs at EDGE; 81% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).

  2. 2Ohio StateOhio State

    Kenyatta Jackson Jr.78 Excellent

    EDGE · Ohio State · No. 31 overall

    Fills a top need for the Chiefs at EDGE; 69% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).

  3. 3OregonOregon

    Matayo Uiagalelei78 Excellent

    EDGE · Oregon · No. 33 overall

    Fills a top need for the Chiefs at EDGE; 72% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).

  4. 4ClemsonClemson

    Will Heldt74 Strong

    EDGE · Clemson · No. 23 overall

    Fills a top need for the Chiefs at EDGE; 49% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).

  5. 5LSULSU

    Trey'Dez Green72 Strong

    TE · LSU · No. 15 overall

    Fills a top need for the Chiefs at TE; 41% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).

  6. 6AlabamaAlabama

    Yhonzae Pierre72 Strong

    EDGE · Alabama · No. 20 overall

    Fills a top need for the Chiefs at EDGE; 40% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).

Fans vs. experts · Week 5

Fans' pick

—

No votes yet this week

Draftview projection

OregonOregonJamari JohnsonTE · Oregon

The Chiefs' pick in 8% of simulations

Prospect watch · Week 6

Prospects in the Chiefs' likely range playing this week. Kickoffs in Eastern time.

Team needs

Biggest needs: TE and EDGE.

  • TEHigh
  • EDGEHigh
  • RBModerate
  • WRModerate
  • OTModerate
  • DLModerate
  • LBModerate
  • CBModerate
  • SModerate
  • IOLLow
  • QBSet

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