DL · Miami
Ahmad Moten Sr.
SR · 6'3", 300 lb · ACC · #99
From Fort Lauderdale, FL
NFL comparison Ed Oliver
Overall · Week 5
No. 25–
Defensive line
No. 3–
Draft range
- Top 5
- <1%
- Top 15
- 12%
- Round 1
- 62%
Projected range: Pick 15–Rd 2 · 38% chance he lasts past round 1
Show as table
| Pick | Chance |
|---|---|
| 2nd | <0.1% |
| 3rd | <0.1% |
| 4th | 0.1% |
| 5th | 0.1% |
| 6th | 0.2% |
| 7th | 0.4% |
| 8th | 0.5% |
| 9th | 0.7% |
| 10th | 0.8% |
| 11th | 1.3% |
| 12th | 1.6% |
| 13th | 1.7% |
| 14th | 2.0% |
| 15th | 2.1% |
| 16th | 2.4% |
| 17th | 2.4% |
| 18th | 3.1% |
| 19th | 3.2% |
| 20th | 3.0% |
| 21st | 3.0% |
| 22nd | 3.6% |
| 23rd | 3.5% |
| 24th | 3.6% |
| 25th | 2.8% |
| 26th | 3.0% |
| 27th | 3.1% |
| 28th | 3.3% |
| 29th | 2.6% |
| 30th | 3.0% |
| 31st | 2.6% |
| 32nd | 2.6% |
Assumes he enters the 2027 draft. Based on board rank, positional value and team needs, with uncertainty that narrows as the season goes on. How this works
2026 stats
- Tackles for loss1.032nd
- Sacks1.061st
- QB hurries021st
- Total tackles51st
Percentiles compare him with every qualifying FBS player at his position: DT/NT/DL/DE with 1.5+ tackles per team game (577 players). 2 games played.
Next game
vs Florida State
Week 7 · Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | TFL | Sacks | Hurries | Tkl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | @  Wake Forest | W 33–20 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | @  Clemson | W 41–13 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 |
Rank history
Ranked No. 25 on the first board of the season. The chart fills in as the board updates each week.
Most likely landing spots
Share of simulated drafts in which each team picks him, combining every team's pick odds, needs and his projected range. He goes after round 1 in 38% of simulations.
Fit with every team
San Francisco 49ers77 Excellent
Fills a top need for the 49ers at DL; 59% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 23–30).
Chicago Bears77 Excellent
Fills a top need for the Bears at DL; 71% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 17–27).
Minnesota Vikings77 Excellent
Fills a top need for the Vikings at DL; 59% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 23–30).
Jacksonville Jaguars76 Excellent
Fills a top need for the Jaguars at DL; 60% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 22–30).
Cincinnati Bengals73 Strong
Fills a top need for the Bengals at DL; 79% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 12–24).
Atlanta Falcons73 Strong
Fills a top need for the Falcons at DL; 81% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–24).
All 29 teams with a first-round pick
Kansas City Chiefs67 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Chiefs; 64% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).
Buffalo Bills66 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Bills; 63% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 21–29).
Seattle Seahawks66 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Seahawks; 59% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 23–30).
Dallas Cowboys66 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Cowboys; 77% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 14–25).
Baltimore Ravens65 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Ravens; 71% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 16–27).
Detroit Lions63 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Lions; 81% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–23).
Pittsburgh Steelers63 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Steelers; 81% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 12–23).
Los Angeles Chargers62 Strong
Fills a top need for the Chargers at DL; 97% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 3–10).
Carolina Panthers61 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Panthers; 84% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 9–21).
Las Vegas Raiders60 Strong
DL is a moderate need for the Raiders; 85% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 10–20).
New England Patriots56 Solid
DL isn't a priority for the Patriots; 68% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).
Houston Texans56 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Texans; 91% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 6–16).
Denver Broncos56 Solid
DL isn't a priority for the Broncos; 70% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 16–27).
New Orleans Saints55 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Saints; 93% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).
Washington Commanders55 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Commanders; 94% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).
Arizona Cardinals53 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Cardinals; 96% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 4–12).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers53 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Buccaneers; 96% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 3–10).
Philadelphia Eagles53 Solid
DL isn't a priority for the Eagles; 80% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–24).
New York Giants52 Solid
DL isn't a priority for the Giants; 82% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–22).
Cleveland Browns52 Solid
DL isn't a priority for the Browns; 86% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–20).
Miami Dolphins52 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Dolphins; 97% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 2–9).
Tennessee Titans40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Titans; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 1–5).
New York Jets40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Jets; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 3–7).
Fit (0–100) combines the team's need at his position (40%), how well his projected range lines up with the team's likely pick (30%) and the chance he's still available there (30%).