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Washington CommandersWashington Commanders

2027 draft outlook · After Week 4

Washington Commanders

1-3 · NFC East

Other teams

Pick odds

Projected pick
8th
Top-5 odds
30%
Since last week
up 10.4
Washington Commanders: chance at each pick
Chance at each pickPick 8: 6.3%
0%2%4%6%8%Pick 1: 4.1%Pick 2: 5.7%Pick 3: 6.5%Pick 4: 7.2%Pick 5: 6.8%Pick 6: 7.3%Pick 7: 6.4%Pick 8: 6.3%Pick 9: 5.3%Pick 10: 5.8%Pick 11: 5.0%Pick 12: 4.4%Pick 13: 4.0%Pick 14: 3.5%Pick 15: 3.5%Pick 16: 3.0%Pick 17: 2.7%Pick 18: 2.0%Pick 19: 1.8%Pick 20: 1.6%Pick 21: 1.2%Pick 22: 0.8%Pick 23: 0.7%Pick 24: 0.4%Pick 25: 1.1%Pick 26: 0.8%Pick 27: 0.5%Pick 28: 0.2%Pick 29: 0.8%Pick 30: 0.3%Pick 31: 0.2%Pick 32: 0.2%Proj.151015202532
Show as table
PickChance
1st4.1%
2nd5.7%
3rd6.5%
4th7.2%
5th6.8%
6th7.3%
7th6.4%
8th6.3%
9th5.3%
10th5.8%
11th5.0%
12th4.4%
13th4.0%
14th3.5%
15th3.5%
16th3.0%
17th2.7%
18th2.0%
19th1.8%
20th1.6%
21st1.2%
22nd0.8%
23rd0.7%
24th0.4%
25th1.1%
26th0.8%
27th0.5%
28th0.2%
29th0.8%
30th0.3%
31st0.2%
32nd0.2%

No. 1: 4.1% · Top 3: 16.2% · Top 10: 61.4%

Season trend

After week 4: 30%
0%10%20%30%40%30%Pre1234

Week

Week 5 rooting guide

Results that help this pick most, from the same 10,000 simulations. Changes are top-5 odds and average pick if that team wins rather than loses.

Your game

  • New York GiantsNew York Giants

    Root for Giants over Commanders

    +25.4% top-5 odds · 4.6 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  1. Miami DolphinsMiami Dolphins

    Root for Dolphins over Bengals

    +3.0% top-5 odds · 0.2 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  2. Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers

    Root for Chargers over Broncos

    +2.6% top-5 odds · 0.1 picks earlierSun 4:05 PM ET
  3. Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers

    Root for Steelers over Colts

    +2.5% top-5 odds · 0.2 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  4. Green Bay PackersGreen Bay Packers

    Root for Packers over Bears

    +2.3% top-5 odds · 0.3 picks earlierSun 1:00 PM ET
  5. New York JetsNew York Jets

    Root for Jets over Browns

    +1.6% top-5 oddsSun 1:00 PM ET
  6. Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons

    Root for Falcons over Ravens

    +1.4% top-5 odds · 0.3 picks earlierSun 8:20 PM ET
  7. Tennessee TitansTennessee Titans

    Root for Titans over Texans

    +1.0% top-5 oddsSun 1:00 PM ET
  8. Arizona CardinalsArizona Cardinals

    Root for Cardinals over Lions

    +0.8% top-5 oddsSun 4:25 PM ET
  9. Philadelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles

    Root for Eagles over Jaguars

    +0.8% top-5 odds · 0.2 picks earlierSun 9:30 AM ET
  10. New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints

    Root for Saints over Vikings

    +0.8% top-5 oddsSun 1:00 PM ET
  11. Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders

    Root for Raiders over Patriots

    +0.8% top-5 oddsSun 1:00 PM ET
  12. Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks

    Root for Seahawks over 49ers

    +0.6% top-5 oddsSun 4:25 PM ET
  13. Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills

    Root for Bills over Rams

    0.2 picks laterMon 8:15 PM ET
1 more game barely matters
  • Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Root for Buccaneers over Cowboys

    Little effect on the pickThu 8:15 PM ET

Prospects in range

Full board

Best fits for the Commanders' first pick, combining need, projected range and the chance each player is still available.

  1. 1IndianaIndiana

    Charlie Becker73 Strong

    WR · Indiana · No. 9 overall

    Fills a top need for the Commanders at WR; 63% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).

  2. 2GeorgiaGeorgia

    Ellis Robinson IV72 Strong

    CB · Georgia · No. 13 overall

    Fills a top need for the Commanders at CB; 73% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).

  3. 3ClemsonClemson

    Ashton Hampton70 Strong

    CB · Clemson · No. 19 overall

    Fills a top need for the Commanders at CB; 85% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).

  4. 4OregonOregon

    Jamari Johnson70 Strong

    TE · Oregon · No. 14 overall

    Fills a top need for the Commanders at TE; 84% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).

  5. 5LSULSU

    Trey'Dez Green69 Strong

    TE · LSU · No. 15 overall

    Fills a top need for the Commanders at TE; 86% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).

  6. 6TexasTexas

    Cam Coleman67 Strong

    WR · Texas · No. 6 overall

    Fills a top need for the Commanders at WR; 49% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).

Fans vs. experts · Week 5

Fans' pick

—

No votes yet this week

Draftview projection

TexasTexasCam ColemanWR · Texas

The Commanders' pick in 9% of simulations

Prospect watch · Week 6

Prospects in the Commanders' likely range playing this week. Kickoffs in Eastern time.

Team needs

Biggest needs: WR, TE, IOL and CB.

  • WRHigh
  • TEHigh
  • IOLHigh
  • CBHigh
  • RBModerate
  • OTModerate
  • EDGEModerate
  • DLModerate
  • LBModerate
  • SModerate
  • QBSet

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