DL · Texas Tech
A.J. Holmes Jr.
SR · 6'3", 300 lb · Big 12 · #10
From Houston, TX
Overall · Week 5
No. 56–
Defensive line
No. 8–
Draft range
- Top 5
- 0%
- Top 15
- <1%
- Round 1
- 10%
Projected range: Pick 32–Rd 2 · 90% chance he lasts past round 1
Show as table
| Pick | Chance |
|---|---|
| 8th | <0.1% |
| 9th | <0.1% |
| 10th | <0.1% |
| 11th | <0.1% |
| 12th | <0.1% |
| 13th | <0.1% |
| 14th | 0.1% |
| 15th | <0.1% |
| 16th | 0.1% |
| 17th | 0.2% |
| 18th | 0.2% |
| 19th | 0.3% |
| 20th | 0.3% |
| 21st | 0.4% |
| 22nd | 0.5% |
| 23rd | 0.5% |
| 24th | 0.6% |
| 25th | 0.5% |
| 26th | 0.6% |
| 27th | 0.7% |
| 28th | 1.1% |
| 29th | 0.8% |
| 30th | 1.2% |
| 31st | 1.0% |
| 32nd | 1.0% |
Assumes he enters the 2027 draft. Based on board rank, positional value and team needs, with uncertainty that narrows as the season goes on. How this works
2026 stats
Elite qb hurries among FBS defensive line.
- Tackles for loss2.570th
- Sacks2.589th
- QB hurries496th
- Total tackles1369th
Percentiles compare him with every qualifying FBS player at his position: DT/NT/DL/DE with 1.5+ tackles per team game (577 players). 5 games played.
Next game
vs Arizona State
Week 7 · Sat, Oct 17 · Time TBA
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | TFL | Sacks | Hurries | Tkl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAbilAbilene Christian | W 33–10 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 |
| 2 | @  Oregon State | W 35–24 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | vs  Houston | W 28–26 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | vs  Sam Houston | W 49–14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | @  Colorado | W 29–7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 |
Rank history
Ranked No. 56 on the first board of the season. The chart fills in as the board updates each week.
Most likely landing spots
Share of simulated drafts in which each team picks him, combining every team's pick odds, needs and his projected range. He goes after round 1 in 90% of simulations.
Fit with every team
San Francisco 49ers62 Strong
Fills a top need for the 49ers at DL; 95% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 23–30).
Jacksonville Jaguars62 Strong
Fills a top need for the Jaguars at DL; 96% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 22–30).
Minnesota Vikings61 Strong
Fills a top need for the Vikings at DL; 95% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 23–30).
Chicago Bears61 Strong
Fills a top need for the Bears at DL; 97% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 17–27).
Cincinnati Bengals60 Strong
Fills a top need for the Bengals at DL; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 12–24).
Los Angeles Chargers60 Strong
Fills a top need for the Chargers at DL; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 3–10).
All 29 teams with a first-round pick
Atlanta Falcons60 Solid
Fills a top need for the Falcons at DL; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–24).
Seattle Seahawks53 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Seahawks; 95% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 23–30).
Buffalo Bills51 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Bills; 96% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 21–29).
Kansas City Chiefs51 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Chiefs; 96% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 20–29).
Baltimore Ravens50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Ravens; 97% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 16–27).
Houston Texans50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Texans; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 6–16).
Dallas Cowboys50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Cowboys; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 14–25).
Miami Dolphins50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Dolphins; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 2–9).
Detroit Lions50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Lions; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–23).
Arizona Cardinals50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Cardinals; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 4–12).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Buccaneers; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 3–10).
Washington Commanders50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Commanders; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).
Pittsburgh Steelers50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Steelers; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 12–23).
New Orleans Saints50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Saints; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 5–14).
Carolina Panthers50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Panthers; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 9–21).
Las Vegas Raiders50 Solid
DL is a moderate need for the Raiders; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 10–20).
Denver Broncos41 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Broncos; 97% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 16–27).
New England Patriots41 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Patriots; 96% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 18–28).
Philadelphia Eagles40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Eagles; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–24).
Tennessee Titans40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Titans; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 1–5).
New York Jets40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Jets; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 3–7).
New York Giants40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Giants; 98% chance he's available in their most likely range (picks 11–22).
Cleveland Browns40 Fair
DL isn't a priority for the Browns; he's almost certain to be available in their most likely range (picks 11–20).
Fit (0–100) combines the team's need at his position (40%), how well his projected range lines up with the team's likely pick (30%) and the chance he's still available there (30%).